Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlético Tucumán		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.3	3.65	Watch
	2.13	3.3	3.93
	2.05	3.27	3.81
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.07	3.14	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.23)	3.19 ↑ (3)	3.74 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
45.4%

Draw
29.5%

Gimnasia La Plata
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 3. Villa M. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 20. Suso G. 21. Galvan I. 5. Dominguez J. 8. Ham E. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Diaz L.	1. Cabrera M. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 14. Errecalde G. 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 33. Aguiar P. 16. Max A. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 10. Schelotto N. 7. Panaro M. 32. Torres M.
Substitutes
35. Abeldano G. 30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 6. Ferrari G. 33. Gonzalez R. 7. Martin Benitez 34. Roman L. 18. Ruiz R. 27. Segovia A. 36. Vallejo L. 19. Vega L.	29. Auzmendi A. 31. Barros Schelotto B. 35. Cortazzo J. 15. Gelsomino A. 4. Giampaoli R. 6. Mastrangelo D. 20. Perez J. 12. Schroeder P. 18. Seoane M. 26. Torres F. 42. Villarreal S. 43. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Falcioni J.	Zaniratto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Errecalde G. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ⚽, Franco N. (A),
31', Max A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Fernandez N. 🟨,
60', Aguiar P. ↓, Zalazar M. ↑,
60', Errecalde G. ↓, Giampaoli R. ↑,
66', Galvan I. ↓, Vallejo L. ↑,
68', Steimbach A. 🟨,
69', Lamendola N. 🟨,
72', Schelotto N. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
72', Torres M. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
74', Ham E. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
78', Max A. ↓, Mastrangelo D. ↑,
82', Panaro M. 🟨,
88', Tesuri R. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
89', Franco N. ↓, Ferrari G. ↑,
90+5', Villa M. 🟨,
90+6', Giampaoli R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 1.

Atlético Tucumán has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Tucumán will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Godoy L. (Red Card) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ortiz K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Insfran N. (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.06%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:3 ✺
24.02.26	Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Banfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
23.02.25	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
24.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
Copa Argentina
22.05.24	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.04.24	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	3:2
10.11.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.07.23	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0

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