Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.45	5.4	Watch
	1.75	3.52	5.56
	1.75	3.34	5.1	Watch
	2	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2)	3.35 ↑ (3.14)	5.11 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
53.2%

Draw
28.3%

Gimnasia La Plata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Unión (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Gimnasia La Plata (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 13. Fascendini V. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 16. Martinez M. 7. Fragapane F. 25. Tarragona C. 21. Colazo A.	23. Insfran N. (C) 15. Pintado J. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 17. Schelotto N. 38. Panaro M. 8. Merlini B. 7. Piedrahita A. 32. Torres M.
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 15. Durso T. (G) 19. Estigarribia M. 18. Gamba L. 26. Luduena J. 17. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R. 23. Solari A.	39. Aguiar P. 11. Briasco N. 19. Castro L. 2. Corbalan F. 13. German Conti 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 9. Jan Hurtado 24. Merlo J. 18. Seoane M. 6. Suso G. 26. Torres F. 33. Villalba J.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Zaniratto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Panaro M. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Martinez E. ⚽, Schelotto N. (A),
26', Martinez M. 🟨,
28', Martinez E. 🟨,
45+2', Max A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fragapane F. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
64', Vargas L. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
64', Colazo A. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
64', Martinez M. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
67', Merlini B. ↓, Aguiar P. ↑,
67', Piedrahita A. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
77', Palacios J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
83', Schelotto N. 🟨,
84', Fascendini V. 🟨,
86', Schelotto N. ↓, German Conti ↑,
86', Panaro M. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
90+1', Torres M. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
90+2', Insfran N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Unión won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.25	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
10.10.25	Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWL
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.25	Platense - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3 ✺
10.11.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	1:3
01.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
28.10.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	2:3
04.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
18.08.22	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	0:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.04.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	1:0

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