Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Temperley

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	5	Watch
	1.85	2.95	4.6
	1.82	3	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.04	5.78
	1.72	3.13	5.88	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.75
	1.81	2.99	5.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.92)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)	5.13 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
51.5%

Draw
30.5%

Temperley
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

31.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Temperley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Temperley Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Recalde M. 8. Munoz M. 5. Antonio I. 10. Puch J. 11. Lencioni F. 7. Andrada B. 9. Ferreyra B.	1. Mastrolia E. (G) 4. Monti L. 2. Duarte B. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Aguinagalde V. 8. Pombo C. 5. Arregui A. 10. Nieto L. 11. Genez N. 7. Brandan F. 9. Gaona L.
Substitutes
16. Antonini F. 13. Carrera L. 17. Cingolani L. 14. Cortez I. 20. Esposito G. 18. Gaggi E. 19. Galeano M. 12. Sarmiento L. 15. Torres F.	17. Ayunta F. 19. Carrasco J. 16. Esparza G. 18. Hauche G. 20. Lopez L. 13. Lucero L. 14. Milo F. 12. Morrone L. (G) 15. Toledo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Monti L. 🟨,
31', Arregui A. 🟨,
33', Nieto L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Gaona L. ↓, Ayunta F. ↑,
55', Monti L. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
56', Puch J. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
65', Nieto L. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Brandan F. ⚽,
70', Toledo A. 🟨,
71', Brandan F. ↓, Milo F. ↑,
80', Pombo C. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+1', Mastrolia E. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 2.

Gimnasia Mendoza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Temperley is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gimnasia Mendoza is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Mendoza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.25	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLTT
- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.25	Temperley - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Almirante Brown - Temperley	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Temperley - Chaco For Ever	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Mitre - Temperley	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Temperley - Colón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.03.25	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2
13.10.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Temperley	1:2
27.05.24	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:3
16.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Temperley	1:1
07.05.23	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0
02.05.22	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1
07.11.21	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0

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