The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 18.4%
Draw 28.5%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
29.1%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
27.7%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Marchesini F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Patroni S. 5. Sanchez S. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Carboni B. 9. Aguirre D. E. 11. Rocca J.
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 8. Munoz M. 5. Antonio I. 10. Lencioni F. 11. Andrada B. 7. Cingolani L. 9. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
14. Basualdo N. 15. Caballo M. 18. Ceratto L. 13. Ferreyra T. 19. Ferulano M. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 16. Juarez R. 20. Toledo A. 17. Trinidad E.
16. Antonini F. 13. Carrera L. 14. Cortez I. 20. Esposito G. 18. Gaggi E. 19. Moya J. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 15. Recalde M. 17. Ubeda M.
Coaches
Davio S.
Medran E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Saavedra F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
34', Olivera L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cingolani L. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
46', Andrada B. ↓, Antonini F. ↑,
60', Rassol F. 🟨,
62', Munoz M. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Lencioni F. (Pen),
64', Recalde M. 🟨,
67', Rocca J. ↓, Trinidad E. ↑,
67', Patroni S. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
73', Carboni B. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
73', Sanchez S. ↓, Caballo M. ↑,
78', Lencioni F. ↓, Gaggi E. ↑,
80', Gimenez M. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
84', Antonio I. ↓, Carrera L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Defensores Unidos is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gimnasia Mendoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gimnasia Mendoza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Argentina
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Aquino M. (G) 
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