Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Independiente

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.75	2.2	Watch
	3.5	2.87	2.25
	3.65	2.82	2.3	Watch
	3.88	2.81	2.28	Watch
	3.7	2.7	2.2
	3.83	2.75	2.26	Watch
	3.6	2.75	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	2.78 ↑ (2.73)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
25.1%

Draw
33.6%

Independiente
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

33.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

32.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Independiente (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Petruchi L. (G) 32. Paredes L. 4. Munoz E. 6. Gonzales 24. Saavedra F. 8. Linares N. 21. Antonini F. 11. Rodriguez S. 15. Sanchez U. 26. Lencioni F. 35. Simoni V.	33. Rey R. (C) 4. Arias S. 13. Fedorco J. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 8. Millan L. 23. Marcone I. 40. Malcorra I. 25. Pussetto I. 9. Avalos G. 19. Abaldo M.
Substitutes
27. Armoa B. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 7. Cingolani L. 30. Fernandez E. 9. Ferreyra B. 22. Franco J. 2. Mondino D. 20. Ortiz T. 3. Recalde M. 1. Roggero S. (G) 17. Sabatini I.	1. Blazquez J. (G) 20. Bodnar S. 6. Freire N. 29. Godoy L. 28. Gutierrez M. 26. Lomonaco K. 11. Mancuello F. 17. Mazzantti W. 30. Parmo T. 16. Perez Curci M. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 3. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Broggi A.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Antonini F. (A),
29', Valdez S. 🟨,
35', Arias S. 🟨,
39', Antonini F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Malcorra I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Millan L. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
46', Sanchez U. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
56', Simoni V. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
62', Zabala F. 🟨,
72', Saavedra F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
72', Antonini F. ↓, Ortiz T. ↑,
77', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
81', Pussetto I. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
87', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
87', Avalos G. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
90', Valdez S. 🟨,
90+3', Abaldo M. ↓, Lomonaco K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Gimnasia Mendoza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gimnasia Mendoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) Munoz E. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Mendoza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
27.01.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Independiente - Lanús	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Platense - Independiente	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:2

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