Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	6	Watch
	1.55	3.3	6
	1.6	3.5	6	Watch
	1.6	3.51	6.43
	1.61	3.51	6.43
	1.5	3.4	5.5
	1.49	3.71	7.3
	1.57	3.35	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.92)	3.46 ↑ (3)	6.21 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
58.7%

Draw
26.5%

Cornellà
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà Predictions

Users Predictions: Gimnástic de Tarragona will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Varo A. (G) 20. Tirlea A. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 23. Concha D. 18. Martinez B. 17. Fernandez P. 14. Sanz O. 10. Escudero A. 22. Jardi J.	13. Meykher Y. (G) 15. Mas J. 4. Hernandez A. 21. Rios E. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M. 20. Verges E. 17. Canario 6. Toni Arranz 18. Caballero A. 22. Gonpi A. 23. Tenas M.
Substitutes
15. de la Pena I. 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 6. Gorostidi A. 8. Montalvo M. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G.	8. Cherradi A. 19. Garrido C. 14. Kike Lopez 28. Koffi 24. Li H. (G) 27. Luisao 7. Marcos Gorriti 9. Niang M. 46. Soma P.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 2.

Gimnàstic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cornellà is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.23	SD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
18.11.23	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.12.23	Cornellà - Lugo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Ponferradina - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cornellà - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Cornellà - Barcelona B	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Arenteiro - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.05.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà	1:0
14.01.23	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
27.02.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà	1:0
05.12.21	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.03.21	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1
10.01.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà	2:2
09.02.20	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1

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