Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.33
	1.85	3.15	4.35
	2	3.16	4.16
	1.25	5.36	11.22	Watch
	1.89	3.18	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	5.7 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
55.5%

Draw
27.3%

Tarazona
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástic de Tarragona's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Alba D. 22. Alvaro Garcia 23. Baselga M. 2. Camus S. 19. Fuentes J. 10. Jardi J. 11. Jimenez A. 8. Montalvo M. 5. Morgado C. 14. Sanz O. (C)	1. Josele (G) 10. Aguero 14. Borge A. 6. Carrasco O. 11. Castroverde 2. Lopez A. 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 7. Soto D. 4. Trilles M. 22. Vaquero
Substitutes
12. Almpanis C. 26. Esteves E. (G) 13. Fuidias T. (G) 7. Junca D. 18. Kaptoum W. 17. Martinez P. 16. Moi 9. Omoigui C. 6. Prendes M. 21. Pujol E. 20. Santos S. 15. Torres F.	15. Alonso I. . Amigo 19. Armero S. 9. Cubillas D. 27. Fita A. 17. Jimenez A. 8. Ramon A. 23. Rodriguez D. 5. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', Sanz O. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Montalvo M. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 1, Jimenez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Alba D. 🟨,
60', Sanz O. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
60', Baselga M. ↓, Prendes M. ↑,
60', Vaquero ↓, Armero S. ↑,
60', Gomez J. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
69', Fuentes J. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
72', Carrasco O. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
72', Soto D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
72', Jardi J. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
72', Morgado C. ↓, Almpanis C. ↑,
85', Almpanis C. 🟨,
88', Borge A. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
90+1', Alvaro Garcia 🟨,
90+3', Ramon A. 🟨,
90+6', Trilles M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnàstic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnàstic is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	CE Europa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.25	Tarazona - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sevilla B - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tarazona - Marbella	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.25	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0
14.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	1:0
14.04.24	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
10.12.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	2:1

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