Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2	2.8	4
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	2.04	2.95	4
	2.1	3.03	3.87
	2.04	2.93	3.91	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.75
	2.04	2.94	3.96
	2.04	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.53)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	3.9 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
45.1%

Draw
31.4%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 26. Serrano Garcia M. 4. Mayor R. 5. Baz I. 21. Verges E. 7. Rastrojo J. 6. Rabadan D. 16. Gonzalez I. 8. Martinez P. 19. Arriba J. 22. Santamaria G.	13. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 15. Leal A. 5. Dufur U. 21. Oriol J. 10. Jardi J. 6. Gorostidi A. 14. Sanz O. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P. 9. Antonin
Substitutes
10. de la Nava C. 3. Garcia C. 17. Garcia D. 11. Gomez A. 9. Moreno I. 23. Pascual A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 14. Tavares R.	11. Fernandez M. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 16. Lopez A. 8. Montalvo M. 22. Narro V. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 1. Varo A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Martinez P. ⚽,
30', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez P. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
60', Rastrojo J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
60', Gonzalez I. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
63', Verges E. 🟨,
65', Concha D. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
73', Jardi J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
73', Dufur U. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
75', Santamaria G. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
79', Arriba J. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
81', Antonin ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
81', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Tirlea A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Gimnàstic have a series of home games.

In this match Unionistas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Unionistas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Unionistas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	FC Andorra - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zamora	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
27.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.03.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
03.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

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