Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.25	3.15	3.1
	2.25	2.92	3.57
	2.19	2.94	3.43	Watch
	2.2	2.99	3.42
	2.25	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.33)	3.04 ↓ (3.24)	3.22 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
41.4%

Draw
30.2%

Leonesa
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Gimnástic de Tarragona aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 14. Sanz O. 5. Dufur U. 21. Oriol J. 10. Jardi J. 8. Montalvo M. 6. Gorostidi A. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin 17. Fernandez P.	1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 16. Maestre S. 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 10. Chacon L. 19. Escobar A.
Substitutes
23. Concha D. 11. Fernandez M. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 15. Leal A. 16. Lopez A. 3. Perez G. 13. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 2. Vicens B.	20. Alba T. 14. Bicho 7. Calderon C. 31. Martinez I. 6. Presa K. 4. Rodri Suarez 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Artola J. ⚽,
10', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
12', Chacon L. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Chacon L. ⚽,
35', Barri 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gorostidi A. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
46', Jardi J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Dufur U. ↓, Leal A. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Narro V. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ⚽,
59', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
62', Antonin ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
64', Lopez A. 🟨,
73', Artola J. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
74', Oriol J. 🟨,
81', Escobar A. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
81', Barri ↓, Bicho ↑,
83', Narro V. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
86', Montalvo M. 🟨,
90+2', Fernandez M. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 3, Martinez I. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Gimnàstic in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnàstic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gimnàstic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTWW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.24	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
16.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Leonesa - Sestao	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Llanera - Leonesa	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.04.24	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0
25.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	3:0
Spanish LaLiga2
19.05.18	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	5:3
17.12.17	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

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