Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.5
	1.73	3.1	4.6
	1.8	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.21	5.29
	1.78	3.21	5.29
	1.78	3.18	4.96
	1.75	3.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.63)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	4.86 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
52.1%

Draw
28.9%

Fuenlabrada
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 6. Gorostidi A. 8. Montalvo M. 22. Jardi J. 18. Martinez B. 29. Godoy A. 11. Fernandez M.	13. Belman (G) 4. Sotillos A. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 14. Barbosa A. 8. Cristobal 23. Galindo A. 3. Duran J. 29. Benitez C. 7. Hernandez R. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
25. Curto G. S. 5. Dufur U. 10. Escudero A. 17. Fernandez P. 24. Garcia A. (G) 15. Mula A. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G. 20. Tirlea A.	10. Bravo A. 18. Craninx A. (G) 11. De Camargo W. 19. Hassaine I. 35. Kara A. 45. Plata A. 32. Rodriguez S. 15. Sanchez A. 2. Vigaray C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Alba D. 🟨,
27', Benitez C. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Jardi J. ⚽,
34', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gorostidi A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
46', Godoy A. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
59', Fernandez M. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
65', Sergio Benito ↓, Hassaine I. ↑,
65', Barbosa A. ↓, De Camargo W. ↑,
73', Jardi J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
77', Alba D. ↓, Vigaray C. ↑,
79', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnàstic is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.03.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTTW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Celta de Vigo B - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Osasuna B - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.10.23	Fuenlabrada - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1

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