Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.19	3	3.45
	2.27	3	3.39
	2.23	2.97	3.3	Watch
	2.26	2.91	3.38
	2.19	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	2.97 ↓ (3.19)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
41.7%

Draw
30.9%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 15. Bustos A. 22. Esquerdo V. 16. Lozano M. 11. Mula A. 20. Costa A. 10. Valle B. (C)	13. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 15. Leal A. 5. Dufur U. 21. Oriol J. (C) 22. Narro V. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Antonin 17. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 25. Barredo P. (G) 21. Cortes J. 24. Doue M. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A.	23. Concha D. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 16. Lopez A. 3. Perez G. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 1. Varo A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Dufur U. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Bustos A. ⚽,
61', Dufur U. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
61', Fernandez P. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
62', Fernandez M. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Costa A. ⚽,
66', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Tirlea A. ↑,
70', Concha D. 🟨,
72', Bustos A. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
75', Sanz O. 🟨,
78', Costa A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
78', Mula A. ↓, Abelenda B. ↑,
79', Narro V. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
84', Valle B. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
87', Jardi J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Ponferradina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnàstic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gimnàstic have a series of home games.

Ponferradina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ponferradina - Castellón	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	5:2 ✺
17.11.24	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	2:3 ✺
27.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.03.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
07.10.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.16	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	1:1
10.10.15	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2

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