Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Fuenlabrada		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.55
	2.17	3.1	3.55
	2.24	2.99	3.37
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.92)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.42 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
42.9%

Draw
30.3%

Sabadell
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Fuenlabrada - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 2. Vigaray C. 4. Sotillos A. 5. Lama M. 14. Barbosa A. 17. Ruiz Fer 8. Cristobal 12. Buer S. 23. Galindo A. 7. Hernandez R. 20. Sergio Benito	13. Ortola A. (G) 11. Astals D. 6. Calavera J. 18. Salvador C. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 23. Soto D. 12. Domenech M. 21. Maestre S. 22. Abde 17. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
29. Benitez C. 10. Bravo A. . Craninx A. (G) 11. De Camargo W. 3. Duran J. 24. Giffard L. (G) 9. Gomez D. 19. Hassaine I. 37. Javi Curras 35. Kara A. 32. Rodriguez S. 15. Sanchez A.	3. Fernandez J. 28. Fernandez P. 19. Garcia N. 8. Gualda A. 1. Leal F. (G) 9. Martinez M. 31. Morcillo J. R. 7. Moyano A. 4. Pujol R. . Saez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Sotillos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ruiz Fer ↓, De Camargo W. ↑,
47', Domenech M. 🟨,
47', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Kopotun V. ⚽,
59', Vigaray C. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Kopotun V. ⚽,
63', Buer S. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
72', Calavera J. 🟨,
76', De Camargo W. 🟨,
79', Sergio Benito ↓, Hassaine I. ↑,
80', Soto D. ↓, Saez M. ↑,
84', Salvador C. 🟨,
86', Galindo A. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
89', Domenech M. ↓, Gualda A. ↑,
89', Calavera J. ↓, Pujol R. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fuenlabrada will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.24	Celta de Vigo B - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Osasuna B - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWWT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.24	Sabadell - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sabadell - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Sestao - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.23	Sabadell - Fuenlabrada	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
16.04.21	Fuenlabrada - Sabadell	2:2
28.11.20	Sabadell - Fuenlabrada	1:2

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