Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Fuenlabrada		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.55	2.75	2.65
	2.7	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.72	2.79	2.82
	2.88	2.74	2.9
	2.66	2.89	2.75
	2.65	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.93)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	2.76 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
34.2%

Draw
32.6%

Ponferradina
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

30.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 4. Sotillos A. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 32. Rodriguez S. 17. Ruiz Fer 8. Cristobal 12. Buer S. 23. Galindo A. 7. Hernandez R. 20. Sergio Benito	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 22. Andujar D. 15. Leal A. 3. Jimenez N. 7. Gomez E. 16. Lozano M. 6. Igbekeme J. 14. Cerda J. 5. Longo S. 9. Borja V.
Substitutes
29. Benitez C. 10. Bravo A. 11. De Camargo W. 1. Diaz J. (G) 19. Hassaine I. 37. Javi Curras 35. Kara A. 30. Muriana J. 44. Nacho 34. Reguilon M. 15. Sanchez A. 2. Vigaray C.	18. Abelenda B. 21. Cabanzon Y. 12. Claveria P. 2. Diez A. 20. Javi Lancho 13. Jimenez A. (G) 8. Llonch P. 19. Lopez A. 10. Yuri

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0.

Fuenlabrada is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponferradina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.02.24	Lugo - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Fuenlabrada - Sestao	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Fuenlabrada - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.02.24	Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ponferradina - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Osasuna B - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Ponferradina - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.23	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.22	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	2:3
17.10.21	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:0
10.04.21	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:0
25.11.20	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	1:1
01.07.20	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	0:3
07.09.19	Fuenlabrada - Ponferradina	1:1

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