Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.35	2.92	3.1
	2.52	2.98	3.13
	2.4	2.85	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3
	2.35	2.79	3.17
	2.36	2.71	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.44)	2.83 ↓ (3.01)	3.12 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
38.5%

Draw
32.3%

Ibiza
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 2. Camus S. 22. Perez H. 4. Alba D. 16. Moi 24. Gelardo A. 14. Sanz O. (C) 8. Montalvo M. 10. Jardi J. 23. Baselga M. 11. Jimenez A.	1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 2. Diez S. 16. Pedreno M. 18. Indias I. 21. Kembo Y. 8. del Olmo I. 4. Monjonell E. 11. Castillo F. 24. Valls T. 7. Bebe 20. El Ftouhi S.
Substitutes
12. Almpanis C. 19. Fuentes J. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 27. Gutierrez A. 17. Martinez P. 9. Omoigui C. 6. Prendes M. 21. Pujol E. 20. Santos S. 29. Subirats O. 15. Torres F. 3. Zoilo A.	3. Albert J. 6. del Pozo D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 28. Incera I. 14. Nsukula G. 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Sanz O. 🟨,
30', Bebe 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Jardi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Jardi J. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
65', del Olmo I. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
65', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
68', Alba D. 🟨,
68', Svensson M. 🟨,
69', Perez H. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
69', Jimenez A. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
69', Gelardo A. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
81', Baselga M. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
86', Valls T. ↓, Albert J. ↑,
86', Kembo Y. ↓, Incera I. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent form of Gimnàstic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ibiza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
14	Gimnastic	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.01.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Teruel	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Antequera - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:2 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.01.26	Ibiza - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.25	Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.05.21	Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:0
18.04.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ibiza	0:1

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