Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.05	2.87	3.4
	2.05	3	3.65
	2.14	3.03	3.67	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.09	3.24	3.55
	1.96	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.16)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
44.5%

Draw
29.8%

Eldense
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

30.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Ibiza - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. 16. Pedreno M. 4. Monjonell E. 3. Albert J. 7. Bebe 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 23. Gomez E. 20. El Ftouhi S. 9. Davo	1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 18. Macho G. 11. Bellari H. 9. Dioni 10. Fidel
Substitutes
11. Castillo F. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 12. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 18. Indias I. 27. Pugliese P. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 6. Calvo B. 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 22. Nunez R. 16. Quintanilla R. 13. Valencia P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Bellari H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

Ibiza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eldense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eldense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Eldense has had a series of home games.

Ibiza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Eldense - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.68%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ibiza - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.25	Eldense - Betis B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eldense - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Eldense - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Alcorcón - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Eldense - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.22	Ibiza - Eldense	2:2

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