Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.4
	2.2	2.92	3.4
	2.36	2.87	3.36	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.5
	2.2	3.01	3.55
	2.16	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)	2.84 ↓ (2.97)	3.45 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
41.4%

Draw
32.1%

Real Murcia
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibiza - Real Murcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. 18. Indias I. 16. Pedreno M. 21. Kembo Y. 12. Garcia D. 4. Monjonell E. 11. Castillo F. 8. del Olmo I. 7. Bebe 9. Davo	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 15. Gil O. 3. Romero C. 9. Benito P. A. P. 21. Djanbou S. 20. Zenitagoia E. 10. Gomez I. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
6. del Pozo D. 2. Diez S. 20. El Ftouhi S. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 28. Incera I. 34. Nsukula G. 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G) 24. Valls T.	16. Antonio David 12. Joao Pedro Palmberg 22. Juan Carlos 35. Kajaia S. (G) 14. Leon P. 33. Llobell R. 4. Lopez A. 40. Meca A. 70. Narro V. 34. Sanchez J. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Davo ⚽, Castillo F. (A),
16', Medina U. 🟨,
41', del Olmo I. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Indias I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Djanbou S. ↓, Sanchez J. G. ↑,
46', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
55', Zenitagoia E. 🟨,
58', Gil O. 🟨,
61', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
68', Indias I. ↓, Valls T. ↑,
68', del Olmo I. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
69', Gil O. ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
70', Davo ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
75', Leon P. 🟨,
76', Narro V. 🟨,
81', Bebe ↓, Incera I. ↑,
81', Castillo F. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
84', Romero C. 🟨,
85', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Meca A. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.25	Real Murcia - CE Europa	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.12.25	Real Murcia - Betis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.10.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2
02.03.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2
30.11.24	Ibiza - Real Murcia	1:2
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Ibiza - Real Murcia	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.03.24	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:0
11.10.23	Ibiza - Real Murcia	3:1
Club Friendly
23.09.20	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2

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