Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Málaga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.95
	2.4	2.95	3.1
	2.4	2.99	3.19
	2.4	2.99	3.19
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.5	2.91	3.25
	2.43	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)	2.91 ↑ (2.87)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
38.4%

Draw
31.8%

Málaga
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

33.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 10. Escudero A. 6. Gorostidi A. 14. Sanz O. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P. 29. Godoy A.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 16. Rodriguez G. 12. Molina M. 11. Villodres K. 22. Lorenzo D. 7. Ferreiro D. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez M. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 22. Jardi J. 18. Martinez B. 8. Montalvo M. 15. Mula A. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G. 20. Tirlea A.	9. Aviles J. 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Trigueros P. 🟨,
43', Nacho Gonzalez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Villodres K. ↓, Larrubia D. ↑,
63', Nacho Gonzalez 🟨,
67', Fernandez P. ↓, Santamaria G. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Godoy A. ⚽,
74', Godoy A. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
74', Escudero A. ↓, Dufur U. ↑,
77', Rodriguez G. ↓, Dioni ↑,
84', Concha D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+4', Santamaria G. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 2)
91', Gabilondo J. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
93', 2 - 0, Santamaria G. ⚽,
100', Ferreiro D. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
106', Jardi J. 🟨,
106', Gorostidi A. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
106', Galilea E. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
108', 2 - 1, Dioni ⚽,
110', Lorenzo D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
120', Santamaria G. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
120+1', 2 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Gimnàstic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Málaga in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.06.24	Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Ceuta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.06.24	Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Málaga - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Celta de Vigo B - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Málaga	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Málaga - Antequera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.06.24	Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga	0:1
17.11.18	Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

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