Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Málaga		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.09	3.2	3.7
	2.09	3.18	3.69
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.09	3.38	3.61
	2.16	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	3.22 ↑ (3)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
43.8%

Draw
28.8%

Celta de Vigo B
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Málaga - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 5. Juande 20. Monte N. 14. Garcia V. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 12. Molina M. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 7. Ferreiro D. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Ruly (G) 2. Lago Y. 18. Lopez J. 20. Rodriguez J. 17. Rueda J. 6. Rodriguez D. 14. Roman M. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Blanco R. (C) 11. Gonzalez A. 9. Duran P.
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 25. Murillo D. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K.	5. Alonso G. 29. de la Iglesia D. 4. Dominguez J. 24. Fernandez C. G. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 16. Gonzalez D. 8. Iglesias Lois B. 15. Lopez F. 19. Manu 34. Meixus P. 21. San Bartolome V. 3. Tincho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
38', Monte N. 🟨,
45+1', Roman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ferreiro D. ↓, Villodres K. ↑,
46', Monte N. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
57', Lopez J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
64', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
70', Blanco R. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
70', Roman M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
78', Lorenzo D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Alonso G. ↑,
85', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
90+1', Larrubia D. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Málaga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Celta de Vigo B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.06.24	Celta de Vigo B - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Málaga	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Málaga - Antequera	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Fernando - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Málaga - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTT
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.06.24	Celta de Vigo B - Málaga	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Celta de Vigo B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Arenteiro - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Real Sociedad B - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.06.24	Celta de Vigo B - Málaga	2:2

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