Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Málaga		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	2.05	2.9	4
	2.13	2.84	4.34
	2.13	2.74	4.35
	1.91	3	4.2
	2.07	3.05	4.17
	2.01	2.9	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	4.12 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Málaga
45.5%

Draw
32%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

33.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

38.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 14. Garcia V. 4. Galilea E. 5. Juande 2. Gabilondo J. 7. Ferreiro D. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 12. Molina M. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Villodres K. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 22. Jardi J. 18. Martinez B. 14. Sanz O. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P. 29. Godoy A.
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 20. Monte N. 25. Murillo D. 3. Puga C. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.	7. Alvarez M. 5. Dufur U. 10. Escudero A. 11. Fernandez M. 8. Montalvo M. 15. Mula A. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G. 20. Tirlea A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Galilea E. 🟨,
34', Juande 🟨,
37', Martinez B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Juande ↓, Monte N. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Concha D. ⚽,
55', Trigueros P. 🟨,
57', Nacho Gonzalez 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. (Pen),
67', Lorenzo D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
69', Sanz O. 🟨,
71', Jardi J. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
79', Gabilondo J. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
79', Villodres K. ↓, Larrubia D. ↑,
81', Concha D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
81', Fernandez P. ↓, Santamaria G. ↑,
85', Molina M. 🟨,
88', Molina M. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
88', Godoy A. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Málaga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnàstic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Málaga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.06.24	Málaga - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Celta de Vigo B - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Málaga	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Málaga - Antequera	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Fernando - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.06.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Ceuta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Málaga	0:1
17.11.18	Málaga - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

Upcoming Matches