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Current Win Probability
Gimnástic de Tarragona 66.9%
Draw 22.6%
Sevilla B 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
22.8%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
20.2%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástic de Tarragona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sevilla B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rebollo D. (G) 2. Camus S. 21. Pujol E. 22. Perez H. 16. Moi 14. Sanz O. (C) 24. Gelardo A. 7. Abdallah K. 11. Jimenez A. 10. Jardi J. 23. Baselga M.
25. Luchino L. (G) 12. Kpebane T. 24. Espineira A. 20. Fattore V. 39. da Silva A. 3. Lopez D. 8. Altozano E. 6. Rivera P. 22. Dasilva L. (C) 42. Lociga F. 9. Costa A.
Substitutes
37. Aguzzi Bettini N. A. 5. Alcala P. 26. Esteves E. (G) 13. Fuidias T. (G) 17. Martinez P. 8. Montalvo M. 9. Omoigui C. 35. Pavon M. 6. Prendes M. 20. Santos S. 3. Zoilo A.
44. Faget-Antonetti R. 43. Galvan Auyanet A. 14. Jalade R. 2. Moreno J. 1. Romero R. (G) 17. Sow I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Rivera P. 🟨,
39', da Silva A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Lopez D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', da Silva A. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
46', Rivera P. ↓, Jalade R. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Costa A. ⚽,
57', Gelardo A. ↓, Zoilo A. ↑,
57', Moi ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
58', Kpebane T. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
68', Dasilva L. ↓, Galvan Auyanet A. ↑,
73', Baselga M. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
78', Costa A. ↓, Faget-Antonetti R. ↑,
80', Galvan Auyanet A. 🟨,
83', Jardi J. 🟨,
84', Abdallah K. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Sanz O. ⚽,
90+10', Sanz O. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Sevilla B is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 3.
Recent performances by Gimnàstic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sevilla B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Gimnàstic is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).