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Current Win Probability
Sevilla B 27.8%
Draw 30.5%
Algeciras 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
32%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
32.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Sevilla B - Algeciras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Romero R. (G) 20. Fattore V. 4. Munoz I. 14. Jalade R. 3. Lopez D. 6. Rivera P. (C) 7. Sierra M. 8. Altozano E. 2. Moreno J. 9. Costa A. 10. Collado A.
1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 15. Ruiz V. 16. Gomez A. 11. Sanchez T. (C) 17. Aviles J. 20. Alamo J. 24. Castro O. 7. Rastrojo J. 21. Garcia J. 10. Garrido D.
Substitutes
43. Arnaudis A. 21. Cortez J. 39. da Silva A. 22. Dasilva L. 24. Espineira A. 44. Faget-Antonetti R. 12. Kpebane T. 25. Luchino L. (G) 15. Pedraza J. 17. Sow I.
22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 2. Arauz C. 13. Casado S. (G) 4. Coch A. 9. Gonzaga M. 6. Mayorga A. 14. Nader A. 19. Obeng I. 23. Riley J. 8. Turrillo I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Collado A. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
17', Munoz I. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Garrido D. ⚽,
36', Marquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moreno J. ↓, Cortez J. ↑,
62', Costa A. ↓, Pedraza J. ↑,
62', Altozano E. ↓, Dasilva L. ↑,
68', Aviles J. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
75', Garrido D. ↓, Gonzaga M. ↑,
75', Marquez J. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
76', Lopez D. ↓, Kpebane T. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Garcia J. ⚽,
85', Ruiz V. 🟨,
86', Garcia J. ↓, Coch A. ↑,
86', Ruiz V. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 1.
Sevilla B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Algeciras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sevilla B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Algeciras could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).