The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ibiza 75.3%
Draw 17.5%
Sevilla B 7.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
20.9%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
13.9%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.
Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-30.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ibiza - Sevilla B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (C) 2. Diez S. 4. Monjonell E. 21. Kembo Y. 22. Sola A. 28. Incera I. 24. Valls T. 18. Indias I. 7. Bebe 19. Eslava J. 11. Castillo F.
1. Romero R. (G) 24. Espineira A. 20. Fattore V. 14. Jalade R. 3. Lopez D. 2. Moreno J. 6. Rivera P. (C) 8. Altozano E. 12. Kpebane T. 9. Costa A. 7. Sierra M.
Substitutes
9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 12. Garcia D. 17. Medina U. 14. Nsukula G. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 16. Pedreno M. 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)
10. Collado A. 21. Cortez J. 39. da Silva A. 25. Luchino L. (G) 15. Pedraza J. 17. Sow I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Sierra M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Valls T. 🟨,
55', Kpebane T. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
61', Bebe ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
70', Castillo F. ↓, Davo ↑,
70', Eslava J. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
78', Moreno J. ↓, Cortez J. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Sierra M. ⚽,
85', Valls T. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
86', Svensson M. 🟨,
89', Sierra M. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
90', Fattore V. 🟨,
90+2', Incera I. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Ibiza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sevilla B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ibiza is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).