Match Info

K League 2 - Round 24

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Suwon		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.00	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.00
	2.04	3.45	2.95
	2.16	3.67	3.35
	2.12	3.56	3.21	Watch
	2.10	3.50	3.30
	2.04	3.58	3.33	Watch
	2.03	3.50	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.11)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
44.7%

Draw
26.2%

Busan I Park
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Suwon - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: Suwon will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Suwon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 25. Jang Young-Woo 20. Lee Ji-Sol 3. Derlan 22. Seo Jae-Min 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 7. Lee Jae-Won (C) 29. Choi Gi-Yun 10. Matheus Frizzo 91. Kim Do-Yoon 9. Matheus Babi	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 3. Cho Dong-Jae 10. Gabriel Honorio 7. Xavier 88. Park Hye-seong 47. Son Hwi 99. Cristian Renato 8. Kim Min-Hyeok
Substitutes
99. Ha Jung-woo 8. Han Chan-Hee 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 70. Jung Seung-Bae 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 6. Kim Ji-hun 19. Kim K. 27. Lee S. 18. Tsukagawa K.	2. Akhadov O. 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 72. Kim D. 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon 6. Lee Dong-Su 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.
Coaches
Park Kun-Ha	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Kim Hee-Seung ⚽, Son Hwi (A),
23', 1 - 1, Derlan ⚽, Goo Bon-Cheul (A),
27', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
42', Kim Hee-Seung 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Matheus Frizzo (Penalty Awarded),
67', Kim Min-Hyeok ↓, Son J. ↑,
67', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
67', Xavier 🟨,
69', Matheus Babi ↓, Ha Jung-woo ↑,
69', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Lee S. ↑,
70', Ha Jung-woo 🟨,
71', Jang Ho-Ik 🟨,
76', Son Hwi ↓, Kim J. ↑,
76', Park Hye-seong ↓, Choi Dong-ryeol ↑,
89', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Kim K. ↑,
89', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Han Chan-Hee ↑,
90', Ahn Hyun-Beom 🟨,
90+4', Derlan 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1.

Suwon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Busan I Park is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Suwon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Suwon has had a series of away games.

Suwon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
22.08.26	Suwon - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Paju Frontier - Suwon	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Daegu - Suwon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWLW
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
22.08.26	Daegu - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Busan I Park - Bucheon	0:1 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 2
15.08.26	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Yongin - Busan I Park	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
18.04.26	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1
South Korean K-League 1
09.12.23	Suwon - Busan I Park	5:2 ET
06.12.23	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1
South Korean Cup
15.07.20	Suwon - Busan I Park	0:1
South Korean K-League 2
05.10.19	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:0
13.07.19	Suwon - Busan I Park	0:1
01.06.19	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:2

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