Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Busan I Park		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.35
	2.72	3.25	2.38
	2.79	3.39	2.43
	2.78	3.42	2.39	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.66	3.28	2.33	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.66)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
34%

Draw
27.5%

Bucheon
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

29.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Busan I Park have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Busan I Park - Bucheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Park Ji-Min (G) 2. Akhadov O. 3. Cho Dong-Jae 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 21. Kim Dong-Wook 4. Kim J. 55. Kwon Jun-seong 6. Lee Dong-Su (C) 42. Lee H. 88. Park Hye-seong 97. Son J.	21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 83. Jo Seong-Jun 2. Kim Jong-Min 13. Kim Min-Jun 71. Kim Seung-Bin 93. Lee J. 44. Lee Ye-chan 9. Park Jeong-In 23. Takahashi K. 25. Yeo Bong-Hun 8. Yoon Bit-Garam (C)
Substitutes
11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 18. Baek Ga-On 80. Gutemberg 20. Kim Hee-Seung 13. Kim Hyun-Min 66. Kim Se-Hoon 31. Kim Yoo-Rae (G) 70. Song A. (G) 47. Son Hwi	99. Gustavo Nescau 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 16. Kim Sang-Jun 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 31. Lee Sang-hyeon (G) 19. Seong S. 27. Uh Dam 66. Yu Seung-Hyun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
106', 🟨,
106', 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 3.

Recent form of Busan I Park has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bucheon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bucheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Busan I Park has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Bucheon - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.19%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
15.08.26	Busan I Park - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Yongin - Busan I Park	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Bucheon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Bucheon - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Bucheon - Paju Frontier	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
12.10.25	Busan I Park - Bucheon	1:2
26.07.25	Busan I Park - Bucheon	4:2
08.03.25	Bucheon - Busan I Park	0:2
09.11.24	Busan I Park - Bucheon	3:1
06.07.24	Busan I Park - Bucheon	2:2
20.04.24	Bucheon - Busan I Park	1:3
29.10.23	Busan I Park - Bucheon	2:1

Upcoming Matches