Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gimpo Salter Soccer Field (Gimpo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gimpo		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	2.75	Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.75
	2.88	3.20	2.48
	2.42	3.25	3.06
	3.29	3.32	2.15	Watch
	2.40	3.05	3.00
	2.44	3.51	2.79	Watch
	2.41	3.25	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.09)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	2.72 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimpo
36.8%

Draw
28.8%

Gimcheon Sangmu
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimpo's performance.

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimcheon Sangmu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimpo than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimpo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimcheon Sangmu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Gimpo - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yoon Bo-Sang (G) 77. Chapman C. 8. Djalma 23. Kim M. 20. Kim Min-Seog 14. Lee Hak-Min 44. Lee Yong-Hyeok 10. Luan Dias 50. Park Dong-Jin 3. Park Kyung-Rok (C) 96. Paulo Henrique	37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G) 42. Hong Si-Hoo 10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 49. Kang M. 5. Kim Min-Kyu 20. Lee Chan-Wook 47. Lee Sang-Heon 15. Lim Dug-Keun (C) 33. Park Jin-Seong 53. Roh Kyung-Ho 54. Yoon Jae-Seok
Substitutes
6. Choi Jae-Young 32. Jang Bu-seong 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 47. Kim Dong-Min 4. Kim Tae-Han 1. Lee Sang-min (G) 11. Lee Si-Heon 17. Lim C. 40. Nam Hyeon-u	46. Jeong M. 57. Jung Jae-Min 50. Kang Ju-Hyeok 26. Lee Jung-Taek 6. Lee Soo-Bin 41. Park M. (G) 44. Park Min-Seo 14. Park Se-Jin 58. Park Yong-Hui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Lee Chan-Wook ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Chapman C. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Gimpo has had a series of home games.

Gimcheon Sangmu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimpo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gimpo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Gimpo - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.28%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Gimcheon Sangmu - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.28%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
16.08.26	Gimpo - Cheonan City	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Gimpo - Cheongju	3:0 ✺
02.08.26	Gimpo - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimpo - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
26.07.26	Gimpo - Yongin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWTWT
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
25.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
29.10.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gimpo	2:0
15.07.23	Gimpo - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1
30.04.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gimpo	0:2

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