Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Girona		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.33	Watch
	1.91	3	4.6
	1.98	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2	3	4.1
	2.07	3.1	4.51
	2	3	4.2	Watch
	1.96	3.18	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)	4.34 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
47.5%

Draw
30.8%

Sabadell
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

28.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

16.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Girona's form might have worsened.

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabadell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	12.1%	24.2%

Girona - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 42 - 63.6%). Sabadell will win (votes: 16 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 52% – 75.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Girona has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sabadell has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Girona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sabadell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Girona won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.20	Tenerife - Girona	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Gimnástica Segoviana - Girona	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.20	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
10.12.20	Girona - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Albacete Balompié - Girona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.20	Sabadell - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Sabadell	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Cartagena - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
09.12.20	Sabadell - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
06.12.20	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.18	Sabadell - Girona	0:1
13.08.16	Sabadell - Girona	1:3
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.15	Girona - Sabadell	0:0
18.10.14	Sabadell - Girona	0:2
08.03.14	Sabadell - Girona	4:0
06.10.13	Girona - Sabadell	1:1
19.01.13	Sabadell - Girona	4:1

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