Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Albacete Balompié		Girona

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.8	2.37	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.45
	3.3	2.8	2.5	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.39
	3.55	2.89	2.5
				Watch
	3.36	2.88	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.11)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)	2.45 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
28%

Draw
33.4%

Girona
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

33.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

25.3%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete Balompié that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albacete Balompié - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Albacete has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Girona has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Albacete has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albacete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Girona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Albacete won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Albacete won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.20	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
26.11.20	UD Logroñés - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
23.11.20	Albacete Balompié - Almería	1:2 ✺
14.11.20	Lugo - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.20	Girona - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
27.11.20	Alcorcón - Girona	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	Girona - Málaga	0:1 ✺
20.11.20	Espanyol - Girona	1:2 ✺
14.11.20	Girona - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.20	Girona - Albacete Balompié	1:1
23.08.19	Albacete Balompié - Girona	1:0
23.04.16	Albacete Balompié - Girona	0:3
22.11.15	Girona - Albacete Balompié	3:0
15.03.15	Girona - Albacete Balompié	2:2
11.10.14	Albacete Balompié - Girona	0:1

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