Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 34

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Giugliano		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.15	3	3.41
	2.15	2.8	3.5
	2.1	3.08	3.5	Watch
	2.14	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.9)	2.97 ↓ (3)	3.38 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
42.6%

Draw
30.6%

Fidelis Andria
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

32.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giugliano's form might have worsened.

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fidelis Andria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giugliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fidelis Andria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	9.8%	80.5%

Giugliano - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Giugliano will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Fidelis Andria will win (votes: 33 - 80.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fidelis Andria: 68.4% – 92.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Giugliano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.23	Monopoli - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
15.03.23	Giugliano - Avellino	2:4 ✺
12.03.23	Juve Stabia - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Giugliano - Taranto	0:0
25.02.23	Gelbison Cilento - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLTT
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.23	Nuova Monterosi - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
16.03.23	Fidelis Andria - Crotone	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Monopoli - Fidelis Andria	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Fidelis Andria - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Fidelis Andria - Foggia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.11.22	Fidelis Andria - Giugliano	2:0

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