The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giugliano 22.7%
Draw 27.5%
Avellino 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
28.6%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
28.1%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giugliano's form might have worsened.
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avellino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giugliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avellino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Giugliano - Avellino Predictions
Users Predictions:
Avellino will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Russo D. (G) 77. Valdesi A. 15. Solcia D. 24. Caldore M. 3. Oyewale S. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 6. Celeghin E. 17. Giorgione C. 10. Ciuferri F. 14. Padula C. 70. D'Agostino G.
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 26. Cionek T. 56. Enrici P. 2. Todisco G. 21. Armellino M. (C) 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 11. Redan D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
4. Acella C. 32. Balde I. 71. Barosi D. (G) 9. De Paoli A. 99. Iardino E. (G) 72. Llleshi A. 18. Masala M. 23. Minelli A. 45. Nuredini A. 44. Peluso L.
51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 38. Frascatore P. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 5. Rigione M. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 23. Sannipoli D. 19. Tribuzzi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Enrici P. 🟨,
15', Sounas D. 🟨,
24', Gori G. 🟨,
27', Padula C. 🟨,
36', Palmiero L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Solcia D. ↓, Minelli A. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Sounas D. ⚽,
57', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
57', Redan D. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
70', Sounas D. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
73', Padula C. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
73', D'Agostino G. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
77', Caldore M. 🟨,
79', De Rosa R. ↓, Masala M. ↑,
81', Todisco G. ↓, Rigione M. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Masala M. ⚽,
90', Masala M. 🟨,
90+1', Ciuferri F. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 2.
Recent matches Giugliano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Avellino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Avellino will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:12 (average 2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Giugliano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 2.3:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Giugliano - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Russo D. (G) 
Oyewale S. 
Cionek T. 
Sounas D. 
Redan D. 
Balde I. 
Llleshi A. 
Llano Massa M. T. 
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