Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Giugliano		Nuova Monterosi

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.91	3.45	4.38
	1.85	3.45	4.39
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.79	3.4	4.05
	1.91	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.64)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	3.95 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
49.4%

Draw
27.2%

Nuova Monterosi
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giugliano's form might have worsened.

Nuova Monterosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuova Monterosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giugliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuova Monterosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giugliano - Nuova Monterosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Russo D. (G) 5. Menna D. 2. Berman T. 24. Caldore M. 3. Yabre M. 23. Giorgione C. 16. Berardocco L. 20. Vogiatzis V. 30. Ciuferri F. 10. Salvemini F. (C) 46. Sorrentino L.	1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 23. Sini S. 19. Piroli D. 13. Cinaglia D. 20. Bittante L. 18. Parlati S. 17. Fantacci T. 25. Altobelli D. 10. Frediani M. 99. Silipo A. 9. Costantino R.
Substitutes
29. Aruta M. 12. Baldi G. (G) 44. Barba B. 9. Bernardotto G. 50. De Francesco F. 25. De Sena C. 4. Eyango S. 18. Grasso M. 22. Manrrique 99. Nocciolini M. 11. Oyewale S. 27. Rondinella G. 6. Scognamiglio G. 90. Stabile D. P.	93. Coronas C. (G) 8. Di Francesco D. 7. Di Paolantonio A. 3. Di Renzo A. 11. Ekuban J. 15. Giordani P. 33. Mbende E. 29. Palazzino F. 22. Santilli D. (G) 16. Tartaglia A. 30. Tolomello F. 4. Verde F.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Giugliano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monterosi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Giugliano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Giugliano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.23	Monopoli - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Giugliano - Catania	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Avellino - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
13.11.23	Benevento - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Giugliano - Latina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WLWTL
- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
02.12.23	Nuova Monterosi - ACR Messina	0:2 ✺
27.11.23	Benevento - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Nuova Monterosi - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Crotone - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Nuova Monterosi - Picerno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.02.23	Giugliano - Nuova Monterosi	0:2
15.10.22	Nuova Monterosi - Giugliano	2:2
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.04.21	Nuova Monterosi - Giugliano	1:0

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