Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro (Giugliano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Giugliano		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.45	3.55	1.7
	3.75	3.45	1.78
	10.21	5.95	1.24	Watch
	4.27	3.54	1.72	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (4.45)	4.02 ↑ (3.55)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
17.7%

Draw
23.8%

Catania
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

25.3%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Giugliano - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Russo A. (G) 85. Milan M. 24. Caldore M. 29. Del Fabro D. 14. Vaglica G. 28. Prezioso M. 8. De Rosa R. 4. Zammarini R. 17. Esposito G. 90. Nepi A. 70. D'Agostino G.	57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 14. Di Tacchio F. 16. Quaini A. 20. Donnarumma D. 23. Lunetta G. 10. Cicerelli E. 32. Forte F.
Substitutes
32. Balde I. 1. Bolletta L. (G) 10. Borello G. 15. D'Avino L. 26. Forciniti L. 9. Isaac Prado 23. Laezza G. 30. Lops F. 25. Minei A. 11. Njambe M. 44. Peluso L.	6. Allegretto A. 4. Aloi S. 1. Bethers K. (G) 18. Caturano S. 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 7. Jimenez K. 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Lunetta G. ⚽,
34', Cicerelli E. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Forte F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Esposito G. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
46', D'Agostino G. ↓, Borello G. ↑,
46', Zammarini R. ↓, Peluso L. ↑,
58', Forte F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
59', Quaini A. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
73', Lunetta G. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
73', Donnarumma D. ↓, Raimo A. ↑,
73', De Rosa R. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
89', 0 - 3, Jimenez K. ⚽,
90+2', Corbari A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Giugliano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Catania has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Catania is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Giugliano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Trapani - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Giugliano - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Nuova Cosenza - Giugliano	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Giugliano - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Cavese - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Catania	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Trapani - Catania	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Catania - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nuova Cosenza - Catania	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:2
Italian Serie C Group C
26.01.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:1
22.09.24	Giugliano - Catania	3:2
28.03.24	Catania - Giugliano	2:3
26.11.23	Giugliano - Catania	0:1

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