Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 12

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Monterosi		Picerno

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.78	3.15	2.06
	3.78	3.15	2.07
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.22	1.95
	3.4	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.28)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi
25.5%

Draw
28.8%

Picerno
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.8%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Monterosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Nuova Monterosi - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 15. Giordani P. 25. Altobelli D. 19. Piroli D. 20. Bittante L. 18. Parlati S. 7. Di Paolantonio A. 17. Fantacci T. 10. Frediani M. 29. Palazzino F. 91. Vano M.	22. Summa E. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 13. Gilli M. 6. Allegretto A. 25. Guerra W. 8. Gallo A. 30. De Ciancio R. 4. De Cristofaro A. 89. Albadoro D. 9. Murano J. 11. Esposito E.
Substitutes
13. Cinaglia D. 28. Conti B. 8. Di Francesco D. 3. Di Renzo A. 11. Ekuban J. 77. Ferreri G. 12. Rigon A. (G) 99. Silipo A. 16. Tartaglia A. 30. Tolomello F.	24. Biasiol E. 7. Ceccarelli T. 17. Ciko S. 29. Diop A. 12. Esposito A. (G) 18. Garcia R. 77. Graziani V. 10. Maiorino P. 1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 5. Pitarresi F. 16. Santarcangelo A. 27. Savarese M. 37. Vitali P.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Monterosi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Picerno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monterosi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Picerno will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Monterosi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterosi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
29.10.23	Sorrento - Nuova Monterosi	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Catania	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLLL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
29.10.23	Picerno - Foggia	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Monopoli - Picerno	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	Picerno - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Benevento - Picerno	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Crotone - Picerno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
02.04.23	Nuova Monterosi - Picerno	1:1
30.11.22	Picerno - Nuova Monterosi	1:0
26.02.22	Nuova Monterosi - Picerno	1:1
20.10.21	Picerno - Nuova Monterosi	2:0

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