Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Glenavon		Bangor

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.5	2.28
	2.57	3.6	2.62
	2.7	3.62	2.37	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.77	3.32	2.29
	2.5	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
35.2%

Draw
26.8%

Bangor
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Glenavon - Bangor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Byrne M. (G) 3. Burns P. 10. Campbell P. 8. Malone J. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H. 14. O'Kane O. 31. Quinn N. 26. Smith C.	13. Solis Grogan P. (G) 9. Arthurs B. 10. Cushnie B. 24. Devlin O. 19. Francis L. 6. Harrison L. (C) 17. Lynch H. 28. McGuinness S. 25. Morgan M. 3. Neale R. 15. O'Mahony J.
Substitutes
25. Bosakani B. 40. Hamill S. (G) 21. Kee J. 15. McClelland K. 36. McGerrigan L. 44. McShane C. 20. Wilson B.	21. Boyd J. 30. Burns L. 20. Garrett R. 4. Haughey M. 47. McMahon L. (G) 35. Mitchell A. 18. Tom M.
Coaches
O'Connor M.	Feeney L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Malone J. ⚽,
24', Campbell P. ↓, Kee J. ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Arthurs B. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 2, Arthurs B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Devlin O. 🟨,
70', Morgan M. ↓, Garrett R. ↑,
70', Cushnie B. ↓, Haughey M. ↑,
71', 🟨,
74', Smith C. ↓, McClelland K. ↑,
75', McKeown B. ↓, Bosakani B. ↑,
90', Arthurs B. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

Glenavon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bangor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Glenavon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bangor has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Glenavon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Bangor - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
29.11.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	3:1 ✺
21.11.25	Larne - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Crusaders - Glenavon	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Glenavon - Glentoran	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Coleraine - Glenavon	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLWL
- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Premiership
28.11.25	Bangor - Glentoran	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Bangor - Linfield	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Portadown - Bangor	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bangor - Ballymena United	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Bangor - Carrick Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
11.10.25	Glenavon - Bangor	0:3
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Bangor - Glenavon	3:7

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