Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Globo FC		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.6
	5	4.1	1.5
	5.04	3.5	1.6
	5.8	3.2	1.55
	5.85	3.54	1.58
	5	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (2.13)	3.57 ↓ (5.5)	1.57 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Globo FC
17.2%

Draw
25.3%

Nacional de Patos
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

16.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Globo FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Globo FC's form might have worsened.

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional de Patos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Globo FC than the current prediction. (+24.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Globo FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional de Patos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Globo FC - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Globo FC will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nacional de Patos will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Globo FC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Globo FC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nacional de Patos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Globo FC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Globo FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Globo FC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Globo FC	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Globo FC - Iguatu	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Pacajus - Globo FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLLWL
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Pacajus - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Globo FC	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Nacional de Patos - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Nacional de Patos - Globo FC	2:1

Globo FC - Nacional de Patos