Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Gloucester City		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7
	1.32	4.9	7.2
	1.31	5.55	7.47
	1.35	5.2	7.45	Watch
	1.3	4.95	8
	1.32	4.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	5.04 ↑ (4.5)	7.39 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
69.4%

Draw
18.2%

Frome Town
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

20.2%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

18.9%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Gloucester City - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Crosbie J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Grubb D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Gloucester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Frome is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gloucester is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
12.10.24	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Gloucester City - Wimborne Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
28.09.24	Tiverton Town - Gloucester City	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Hanwell Town - Gloucester City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTL
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
12.10.24	Frome Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Frome Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Hungerford Town - Frome Town	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Frome Town	5:0 ✺
10.09.24	Frome Town - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLL

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