Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tiverton Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.4	1.41
	7.3	5.15	1.29
	6.9	5.72	1.33
	6.83	5.58	1.34	Watch
	7	5	1.3
	7.75	5.4	1.27
	4.5	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.54 ↓ (7.08)	5.04 ↓ (5.25)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
14.1%

Draw
18.3%

Gloucester City
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

17.7%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

16.8%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tiverton Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tiverton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiverton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Tiverton (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Tiverton (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiverton (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Simpson K. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Hanks J. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 0 - 3, Williams E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 4, Simpson K. ⚽,
84', 0 - 5, Stretton M. ⚽,
88', 0 - 6, Simpson K. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Tiverton is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gloucester is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gloucester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tiverton has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gloucester has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gloucester is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Tiverton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12:17	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
21.03.26	Tiverton Town - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Tiverton Town - Basingstoke Town	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Wimborne Town - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tiverton Town - Weymouth	0:4 ✺
03.03.26	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
21.03.26	Gloucester City - Uxbridge	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Gloucester City - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Poole Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Gloucester City - Wimborne Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1
28.03.25	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1
28.09.24	Tiverton Town - Gloucester City	0:1

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