Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Gloucester City		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.40	2.85
	2.00	3.40	2.90
	2.13	3.68	3.07
	2.19	3.63	2.97	Watch
	2.10	3.40	2.95
	2.19	3.76	2.88
	2.12	3.55	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
43.2%

Draw
25.7%

Plymouth Parkway
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

24.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

24.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Plymouth Parkway will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Neal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, Dunbar E. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion ~ National League South).

Gloucester has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Plymouth Parkway is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Plymouth Parkway could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Gloucester is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Gloucester has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gloucester against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:3 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27:14	13	26
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Gloucester City - Stafford Rangers	4:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Malvern Town - Gloucester City	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLT
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Plymouth Parkway - Frome Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:0
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1
21.12.24	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	6:0
13.08.24	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:2
English FA Cup
23.09.18	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:1

Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway