Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.52
	2.45	3.91	2.27
	2.38	3.62	2.42
	1.99	3.97	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.99)	3.8 ↓ (3.97)	2.49 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
39.6%

Draw
23.9%

Gloucester City
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

22.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

23.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slough Town's form might have worsened.

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slough Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Slough Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+11', 0 - 1, Day M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, Janneh A. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Davies S. (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, Walker H. (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Slough is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gloucester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gloucester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gloucester has had a series of home games.

Slough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Slough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Slough won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gloucester City - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
08.11.25	Horsham - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Slough Town - Bath City	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Slough Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
English National League South
25.10.25	Slough Town - Maidstone United	1:4 ✺
21.10.25	Weston-super-Mare - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLL
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Uxbridge - Gloucester City	4:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Gloucester City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Gloucester City - Berkhamsted	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.02.19	Slough Town - Gloucester City	1:2
11.08.18	Gloucester City - Slough Town	1:2

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