Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Gambarte (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	Mola
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV


	Godoy Cruz		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.9	3	2.5
	2.78	2.88	2.68	Watch
	2.86	3	2.85
	2.21	2.86	3.75	Watch
	2.9	3	2.45	Watch
	2.82	2.93	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.01)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	2.84 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Godoy Cruz
34.5%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Mineiro
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

31.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

Godoy Cruz - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Godoy Cruz (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlético MG (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Godoy Cruz (votes: 2 - 40%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 26. Mendoza M. 6. Quiroz L. 21. Meli A. 25. Poggi V. 41. Altamira F. 13. Fernandez N. 22. Fernandez P. (C) 27. Andino S. 31. Auzmendi A.	22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 14. Vitor Hugo 6. Alonso J. 13. Guilherme Arana 10. Gustavo Scarpa 21. Franco A. 5. Alexsander 7. Hulk (C) 33. Rony 28. Cuello
Substitutes
32. Abrego G. 11. Barrea D. 77. Dupuy L. 5. Escobar J. 16. Gonzalez M. 29. Jara L. 59. Montoya W. 3. Moran J. 2. Rossi T. 40. Salinas E. (G) 20. Sosa M. 24. Yanez B.	77. Biel 38. Caio Paulista 92. Dudu 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 17. Igor Gomes 30. Isaac 19. Joao Marcelo 37. Junior Santos 18. Reinier 23. Roman I.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Franco A. 🟨,
33', Natanael 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Barrea D. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Natanael ⚽,
61', Everson 🟨,
65', Altamira F. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
75', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Reinier ↑,
75', Arce L. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
75', Poggi V. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
82', Meli A. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
84', Fernandez P. 🟨,
85', Alexsander ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
85', Hulk ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
87', Fausto Vera 🟨,
89', Cuello ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
89', Rony ↓, Roman I. ↑,
90+7', Montoya W. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Godoy Cruz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Godoy Cruz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Godoy Cruz	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.25	Godoy Cruz - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Godoy Cruz - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTT
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Godoy Cruz	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.25	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Godoy Cruz	2:1
Copa Libertadores
16.05.17	Atlético Mineiro - Godoy Cruz	4:1
08.03.17	Godoy Cruz - Atlético Mineiro	1:1

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