The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Godoy Cruz 35.7%
Draw 33.4%
Vélez Sársfield 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
32%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
32.2%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.7%
60.9%
17.4%
Godoy Cruz - Vélez Sársfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Vélez will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41% – 80.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Vélez (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Godoy Cruz (votes: 3 - 20%). Vélez (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 29. Jara L. 26. Mendoza M. 5. Escobar J. 3. Moran J. 13. Fernandez N. 25. Poggi V. 22. Fernandez P. (C) 41. Altamira F. 31. Auzmendi A. 27. Andino S.
1. Marchiori T. (G) 21. Gordon J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. 29. Aliendro R. 5. Baeza C. 28. Carrizo M. 8. Galvan T. 26. Bouzat A. 9. Braian Romero
Substitutes
32. Abrego G. 4. Arce L. 42. Barrionuevo B. 17. Claa N. (G) 77. Dupuy L. 16. Gonzalez M. 21. Meli A. 59. Montoya W. 80. Porcel M. 6. Quiroz L. 20. Sosa M. 24. Yanez B.
50. Andrada I. 35. Arias M. 15. Godoy D. 14. Lagos A. 22. Lanzini M. 39. Machuca I. 12. Montero A. (G) 11. Pellegrini M. 20. Pizzini F. 6. Quiros A. 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.
Barros Schelotto G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Mendoza M. (Own goal),
30', Fernandez P. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Carrizo M. ⚽,
42', Fernandez N. 🟨,
45+1', Baeza C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Auzmendi A. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
46', Altamira F. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
53', Poggi V. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
59', Gordon J. 🟨,
63', Galvan T. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
63', Baeza C. ↓, Andrada I. ↑,
72', Fernandez N. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
74', Carrizo M. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
75', Jara L. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
76', Bouzat A. 🟨,
83', Gordon J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
83', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
89', Mendoza M. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 1.
Godoy Cruz has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vélez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Godoy Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Pozzo T. A.
(Injury)
Ulariaga S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Vélez: Andrada I.
(Back Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Valdes D.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Godoy Cruz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).