Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Verde - Semi-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)


	Goiás		Brasiliense

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.41	4.1	6.6
	1.43	3.91	7.44
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.5	4.4	5.73
	1.41	4.1	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	4.09 ↑ (3.95)	6.69 ↓ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
64%

Draw
22.4%

Brasiliense
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

23%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

22.6%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Goiás - Brasiliense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Tadeu (Pen),
1, Rubens (Pen),
2, Barcelo F. (Pen),
2, Tarta (Pen),
3, Lucas Lovat (Pen),
3, Joaozinho (Pen),
4, Rafael Gava (Pen),
4, Romario (Pen),
5, Pedrinho (Pen),
5, Gustavo Xuxa (Pen),
6, Arthur Caike (Pen),
6, Marcos Junior (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-3.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Goiás is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:5 (average 2.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:2 (average 3.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
16.03.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
12.03.25	Brasiliense - Goiás	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.03.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Goiás - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:1 penalties ✺
02.03.25	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLWT
- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.03.25	Gama - Brasiliense	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
12.03.25	Brasiliense - Goiás	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
08.03.25	Brasiliense - Paranoá	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Brasiliense - Gama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
12.03.25	Brasiliense - Goiás	3:3
23.03.23	Goiás - Brasiliense	1:0
08.03.23	Brasiliense - Goiás	0:0
Club Friendly
25.07.20	Goiás - Brasiliense	5:1
Brazilian Copa Verde
21.08.19	Goiás - Brasiliense	4:1
14.08.19	Brasiliense - Goiás	0:0
Club Friendly
03.07.19	Goiás - Brasiliense	3:0

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