Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 6

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Gomel)

Referee: Gorayutin S. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Gomel		Torpedo-BelAZ

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.16	3.09	3.42
	2.15	3.25	2.9
	2.21	3.08	3.45
	2.5	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)	3.02 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
40.8%

Draw
29.1%

Torpedo-BelAZ
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo-BelAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Gomel - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 23. Danilin K. 4. Gavrilovich A. 9. Leonovich K. 13. Lisakovich D. 14. Pashevich P. 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 19. Silinskiy D. (C) 11. Simanenka T. 33. Sotnikov V. 16. Zayats I.	1. Ignatovich S. (G) 2. Bamba M. 22. Baranok Z. 7. Bykov A. 3. Chagovets Y. 27. Gaevoy M. 21. Kiselev V. 88. Mikhayrin M. 30. Pobudey V. (C) 19. Rutskiy I. 68. Zhulpa D.
Substitutes
7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 21. Kovalevich D. 90. Kukushkin G. 10. Laptev D. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 77. Savitskiy A.	16. Agbo G. 9. Batyshchev O. 89. Frantsuzov A. 20. Martyanov G. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 96. Melko V. 90. Perovic N. 13. Zaleskiy A.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.	Lentsevich D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Danilin K. ⚽, Silinskiy D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leonovich K. ↓, Laptev D. ↑,
46', Mikhayrin M. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
46', Gaevoy M. ↓, Agbo G. ↑,
46', Simanenka T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Bamba M. ⚽,
65', Pashevich P. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
72', Gavrilovich A. 🟨,
75', Zayats I. 🟨,
78', Kiselev V. ↓, Frantsuzov A. ↑,
90+2', Gavrilovich A. ↓, Kukushkin G. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 1.

Gomel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Torpedo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gomel has had a series of away games.

Gomel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gomel won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.5:1.2).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

FC Gomel: 2.04% Zhodino: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33:18	15	39
9	Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28:29	-1	27

Last Results with these Odds

Torpedo-BelAZ - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.04.26	Belshina - Gomel	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Gomel - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Naftan - Gomel	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Minsk - Gomel	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Vitebsk - Gomel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT
- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.04.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3:3 ✺
20.04.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Dinamo Minsk	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dinamo Brest - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
29.10.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	0:1
15.03.25	Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1
05.10.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	2:2
18.05.24	Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0
04.11.23	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	0:0
11.06.23	Gomel - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:3
08.10.22	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	1:1

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