Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Gomel)

Referee: Lyasuk I. (Blr)


	Gomel		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.35	7.2
	1.45	4.4	7.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	4.38 ↑ (4.1)	7.3 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
65.5%

Draw
21.6%

Molodechno
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Molodechno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gomel - Molodechno Predictions

Users Predictions: Gomel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gomel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 16. Zayats I. 33. Chagovets Y. (C) 90. Kukushkin G. 2. Martinkevich V. 21. Antilevskiy A. 19. Silinsky D. 13. Aleksievich I. 14. Adeola R. 10. Laptev D. 11. Simanenka T.	1. Tretyak D. (G) 27. Usenya S. (C) 14. Koval I. 6. Belashevich V. 55. Imeryakov E. 37. Davyskiba R. 29. Samotoy M. 23. Radzhabov A. 10. Butko A. 77. Djukic A. 20. Sagitov A.
Substitutes
8. Barsukov E. 99. Emelyanov D. 56. Loskutov S. 3. Matveychik S. 7. Mayorov N. 23. Potapenko A. 88. Ryzhchenko A. (G) 77. Savitskiy A. 15. Shemruk A.	91. Assumu J. 4. Khadzhiev R. 2. Kutkovich G. 25. Lysenko N. 12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 44. Shelest N. 19. Tychko M. 3. Udodov I. 11. Vlasov A. 22. Voronovich A.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.	Batyuto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Simanenka T. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Sagitov A. ⚽, Butko A. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Adeola R. ⚽, Simanenka T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sagitov A. 🟨,
62', Samotoy M. 🟨,
64', Djukic A. ↓, Lysenko N. ↑,
73', Sagitov A. ↓, Assumu J. ↑,
76', Laptev D. ↓, Potapenko A. ↑,
79', Adeola R. ↓, Barsukov E. ↑,
90+3', Martinkevich V. ↓, Matveychik S. ↑,
90+3', Antilevskiy A. ↓, Emelyanov D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Molodechno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gomel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gomel is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gomel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.09.25	Gomel - Neman Grodno	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Isloch Minsk - Gomel	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Gomel - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Gomel - Minsk	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Gomel - BATE Borisov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTWTL
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.09.25	Naftan - Molodechno	5:0 ✺
14.09.25	Molodechno - Isloch Minsk	0:1 ✺
10.09.25	Molodechno - Neman Grodno	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Vitebsk - Molodechno	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Molodechno - Minsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.05.25	Molodechno - Gomel	0:1

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