Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 15

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Gomel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gomel		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	2.18	3.22	3.42
	2.15	3.05	3.35
	2.20	3.13	3.41
	2.12	3.05	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.52)	3.11 ↑ (2.92)	3.36 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
43.1%

Draw
29.5%

Neman Grodno
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

32.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gomel's performance.

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gomel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Gomel - Neman Grodno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gomel will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Neman will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Karatai A. (G) 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 16. Zayats I. 90. Kukushkin G. 14. Pashevich P. 23. Danilin K. 13. Lisakovich D. 19. Silinskiy D. (C) 9. Leonovich K. 33. Sotnikov V. 11. Simanenka T.	35. Veydyger K. (G) 2. Tonkevich V. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 22. Kirko I. 8. Pantya Y. 15. Evdokimov O. 6. Nazarenko A. 47. Kozlov M. 33. Spataru D. 19. Dayneko A. 9. Pushnyakov S.
Substitutes
7. Adeola R. 8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 4. Gavrilovich A. 44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 21. Kovalevich D. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 30. Troyakov E.	10. Borubaev G. 30. Ednach A. 18. Kravtsov M. 16. Matysyuk N. (G) 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 88. Savitskiy P. 50. Shalashnikov A. 4. Vasiljev A. 24. Yakimov A. 23. Yormie T.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.	Kovalevich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Evdokimov O. ⚽, Pushnyakov S. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Danilin K. ⚽, Lisakovich D. (A),
37', Silinskiy D. 🟨,
38', Lisakovich D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Leonovich K. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
64', Dayneko A. ↓, Savitskiy P. ↑,
67', Shaykhtdinov D. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
67', Lisakovich D. ↓, Emeljanov D. ↑,
69', Pushnyakov S. ↓, Kravtsov M. ↑,
80', Pashevich P. ↓, Gavrilovich A. ↑,
81', Simanenka T. ↓, Kovalevich D. ↑,
87', Spataru D. ↓, Borubaev G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 2.

Gomel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neman has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gomel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gomel won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

FC Gomel: 2.04% Neman: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33:18	15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26:20	6	37

Last Results with these Odds

Gomel - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.07.26	BATE Borisov - Gomel	0:1 ✺
26.06.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Gomel	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Dinamo Minsk - Gomel	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Gomel - Dinamo Brest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW
- FC Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.07.26	Neman Grodno - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Neman Grodno	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Neman Grodno - Dinamo Minsk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.06.26	Neman Grodno - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.06.26	Dinamo Brest - Neman Grodno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.09.25	Gomel - Neman Grodno	3:1
30.03.25	Neman Grodno - Gomel	0:1
11.08.24	Neman Grodno - Gomel	1:1
31.03.24	Gomel - Neman Grodno	2:3
Club Friendly
25.01.24	Neman Grodno - Gomel	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.08.23	Neman Grodno - Gomel	2:2
09.04.23	Gomel - Neman Grodno	3:3

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