Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Atlant Stadium (Novopolotsk)

Referee: Yasenovich E. (Blr)


	Naftan		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.63	4.09
	1.76	3.63	4.44	Watch
	1.88	3.38	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.35)	3.55 ↓ (4.4)	4.32 ↓ (12.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naftan
51.6%

Draw
26.5%

Molodechno
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

21.7%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naftan's form might have worsened.

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molodechno's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Naftan - Molodechno Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Naftan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Molodechno will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Naftan: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Molodechno will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kharitonovich A. (C) 66. Camara Y. 88. Drabatovich A. 23. Kingu M. 52. Kress E. 5. Lebedev A. 92. Leonovich K. 11. Pranovich I. 10. Protasov Y. 31. Roziev R. 44. Sannikov A.	1. Tretyak D. (G) 6. Belashevich V. 10. Butko A. 37. Davyskiba R. 77. Djukic A. 4. Khadzhiev R. 25. Lysenko N. 23. Radzhabov A. 29. Samotoy M. 27. Usenya S. (C) 11. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
1. Denisenko A. (G) 8. Ermakovich K. 99. Grudko I. 7. Kolyadko M. 17. Kopytich A. 19. Rakhimov A. 21. Sidor I. 4. Susha A. 12. Zhvirblya A.	91. Assumu J. 55. Imeryakov E. 2. Kutkovich G. 12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 20. Sagitov A. 44. Shelest N. 19. Tychko M. 3. Udodov I. 22. Voronovich A. 17. Yushkevich A.
Coaches
Kriushenko I.	Batyuto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Leonovich K. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Roziev R. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Pranovich I. ⚽, Kingu M. (A),
31', 4 - 0, Leonovich K. ⚽,
34', Lysenko N. ↓, Imeryakov E. ↑,
42', Camara Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Butko A. ↓, Sagitov A. ↑,
46', Djukic A. ↓, Shelest N. ↑,
70', Pranovich I. ↓, Kopytich A. ↑,
70', Camara Y. ↓, Susha A. ↑,
76', Drabatovich A. 🟨,
77', Kingu M. ↓, Ermakovich K. ↑,
78', Kopytich A. 🟨,
80', Khadzhiev R. ↓, Udodov I. ↑,
80', Radzhabov A. ↓, Assumu J. ↑,
85', Kress E. ↓, Kolyadko M. ↑,
85', Leonovich K. ↓, Rakhimov A. ↑,
88', 5 - 0, Kopytich A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Naftan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Naftan is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Naftan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
13.09.25	Smorgon - Naftan	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Naftan - Isloch Minsk	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	ML Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Naftan - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Dinamo Brest - Naftan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWL
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
14.09.25	Molodechno - Isloch Minsk	0:1 ✺
10.09.25	Molodechno - Neman Grodno	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Vitebsk - Molodechno	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Molodechno - Minsk	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	BATE Borisov - Molodechno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.05.25	Molodechno - Naftan	0:2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.10.22	Naftan - Molodechno	3:1
11.06.22	Molodechno - Naftan	3:5

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