The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gomel 59.3%
Draw 24%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
29%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
29.1%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gomel's performance.
Shakhtyor Soligorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtyor Soligorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gomel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtyor Soligorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
40%
10%
Gomel - Shakhtyor Soligorsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gomel will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Shakhtyor Soligorsk will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gomel: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 91. Nazarenko P. 16. Zayats I. 72. Rashchenya I. (C) 17. Yatskevich V. 54. Akin F. 14. Davyskiba R. 2. Rylach A. 77. Nurymbet A. 20. Kozlovskiy D. 11. Effaghe R.
35. Malashchitsky I. (G) 2. Makarenko A. 80. Yankovski K. 22. Baranok N. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 77. Sotnikov N. 49. Denisyuk A. 99. Zenkov I. (C) 17. Kabyshev V. 87. Martinkevich V. 88. Kovalevich D.
Substitutes
21. Antilevskiy A. 9. Grishchenko I. 3. Matveychik S. 1. Nechaev A. (G) 7. Pukhov T. 22. Shevchenko K. 30. Troyakov E.
91. Bulanov M. 32. Chernik S. (G) 71. Grivenev E. 23. Kovalevich M. 14. Lukashevich I. 47. Podbereznyi D. 11. Prigodich V. 4. Shestilovskiy S. 19. Sviridenko I.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.
Suvorov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Davyskiba R. ↓, Antilevskiy A. ↑,
46', Denisyuk A. ↓, Kovalevich M. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Kabyshev V. ⚽, Kovalevich D. (A),
54', 0 - 2, Kovalevich D. ⚽,
56', Kovalevich M. 🟨,
57', Nurymbet A. ↓, Grishchenko I. ↑,
57', Akin F. ↓, Pukhov T. ↑,
77', Nazarenko P. ↓, Matveychik S. ↑,
78', Kabyshev V. ↓, Sviridenko I. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Effaghe R. ⚽, Yatskevich V. (A),
89', Sotnikov N. ↓, Prigodich V. ↑,
90', Kovalevich D. 🟨,
90', Kovalevich D. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
90+3', Makarenko A. ↓, Shestilovskiy S. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gomel won 1.
Recent matches Gomel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Shakhtyor Soligorsk is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Gomel is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Gomel won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 15-35.
Including matches at home between the teams Gomel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-20.