The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gomel 2 17.9%
Draw 20.8%
Dinamo Minsk 2 61.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.2%
23.5%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
22.6%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Dinamo Minsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Minsk 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Voropaev V. (G) 2. Bondarchuk A. 27. Drozdov M. 23. Emeljanov D. (C) 15. Kabysh M. 17. Krivorot S. 3. Lipnitskiy K. 77. Mayorov N. 8. Sergutko P. 20. Shapovalov R. 11. Starostenko N.
12. Radkevich D. (G) 14. Chernyavskiy M. 24. Chumak A. 19. Degtyarenko D. 20. Gudach T. 5. Kibak V. 22. Kolesnikovich N. 4. Leontyuk D. (C) 9. Lutskovich A. 2. Penkrat A. 25. Varonin U.
Substitutes
91. Gegechkori D. 72. Grishkov D. 22. Kovalev I. 87. Kovalev O. (G) 33. Nanaev V. 10. Semenov A. 7. Tishkov E. 30. Yudenko E.
1. Aleksandrovich A. (G) 15. Bachauskas I. 8. Grabtsevich A. 23. Raptunovich N. 13. Sanko N. 16. Sereda G. 7. Titov N. 11. Yastachkin A. 21. Zhigimont S. 10. Zhivushko S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Varonin U. ⚽, Kolesnikovich N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel 2 won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Gomel 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Dinamo Minsk 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Dinamo Minsk 2 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Gomel 2 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:17 (averaging 0.7:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gomel 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:10 goals (averaging 0.8:2.5 per game).