Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 22

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: RCOP-BGU Stadium (Minsk)


	Dinamo Minsk 2		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.1	3.6	2.7
	2.17	3.7	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	3.6 (3.6)	2.7 (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk 2
41.7%

Draw
25%

Smorgon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

24.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

23.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Radkevich D. (G) 14. Chernyavskiy M. 24. Chumak A. 19. Degtyarenko D. 18. Drozd G. 20. Gudach T. 5. Kibak V. 4. Leontyuk D. 17. Penkrat A. 25. Varonin U. 11. Yastachkin A.	16. Perov D. (G) 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. 5. Elagin K. 30. Fartuna B. 18. Gribovskiy R. 2. Intsoen C. 47. Kukhley R. 99. Malashenko G. 33. Poznyak A. 23. Stankevich A.
Substitutes
1. Aleksandrovich A. (G) 15. Bachauskas I. 2. Dubatovka M. 8. Grabtsevich A. 3. Nizovtsev M. 23. Raptunovich N. . Sanko N. 16. Sereda G. 7. Titov N. 21. Zhigimont S.	3. Autko M. 1. Azarko M. (G) 22. Galko V. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 27. Tishko A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G) 25. Yarotskiy Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Bogdanovich I. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
55', 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Chernyavskiy M. ⚽, Penkrat A. (A),
67', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Drozd G. ⚽, Varonin U. (A),
87', 2 - 2, Kovalevich V. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Drozd G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent form of Dinamo Minsk 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Smorgon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dinamo Minsk 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo Minsk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Din. Minsk 2	25	10	5	10	42:37	5	35
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.08.26	Orsha - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	BumProm Gomel - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Lida	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Slutsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
22.08.26	Smorgon - Ostrovets	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Smorgon - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Molodechno - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Smorgon - Gomel 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
02.05.26	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:3

Dinamo Minsk 2 - Smorgon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide