Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Gorée		Sonacos

	1	X	2
	1.65	3	5.5
	1.66	3.12	5.51
	1.77	2.91	5.6	Watch
	1.67	2.9	5.5
	1.7	3.2	5.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)	3.03 ↑ (2.89)	5.61 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorée
53.8%

Draw
30%

Sonacos
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

31.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

29.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorée has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sonacos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonacos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Gorée - Sonacos Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gorée will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Gorée have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sonacos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gorée is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gorée won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorée won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48
15	Sonacos	30	4	13	13	18:39	-21	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
25.03.26	Génération Foot - Gorée	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gorée - Linguère	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Gorée - Dakar SC	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Guédiawaye - Gorée	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gorée - Teungueth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWTL
- Sonacos
Senegal Ligue 1
26.03.26	Sonacos - Guédiawaye	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Teungueth - Sonacos	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sonacos - Stade de Mbour	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Sonacos - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
12.04.25	Gorée - Sonacos	0:0
10.03.24	Gorée - Sonacos	0:0
12.11.23	Sonacos - Gorée	1:1
07.05.23	Gorée - Sonacos	0:0

Gorée - Sonacos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide