Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 40

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday


	Gosport Borough		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.7	3.5
	1.93	4.05	3.25
	1.86	3.72	3.58
	1.9	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	3.77 ↓ (3.88)	3.43 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
49.1%

Draw
24.3%

Hartley Wintney
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Gosport Borough - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gosport won 1.

Gosport is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hartley Wintney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gosport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hartley Wintney have a series of home games.

In this match Gosport is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gosport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
08.04.23	Tiverton Town - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Gosport Borough - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Swindon Supermarine - Gosport Borough	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLT
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
08.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
04.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Hendon - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Hartley Wintney - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Hartley Wintney - Beaconsfield Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough	3:1
27.12.21	Gosport Borough - Hartley Wintney	1:3
30.08.21	Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough	0:1
01.01.20	Gosport Borough - Hartley Wintney	0:1
26.08.19	Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough	0:0
29.12.18	Gosport Borough - Hartley Wintney	1:0
14.08.18	Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough	1:0

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